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EIN 92-0693558

Forecasting Research Institute (FRI)

IRS 501(c) type
501(c)(3)
Num. employees
3
City
Claymont
State
Delaware
Year formed
2022
Most recent tax filings
2023-12-01
NTEE code, primary
W00: Public Policy, Public Services Institutions: General
Description
Forecasting Research Institute advances the science of forecasting for the public good by developing and testing methods to improve decision-making through forecasting. The institute focuses on assisting those whose decisions are of broad social importance. One of its launched programs is Forecasting Research, which has been awarded the first grant tranche.
Total revenues
$235,026
2023
Total expenses
$1,435,017
2023
Total assets
$4,207,371
2023
Num. employees
3
2023

Program areas at FRI

Fri designed and ran dozens of scientific experiments and expert elicitation surveys for future publication as academic papers and technical reports. Research focuses include surveys of expert beliefs about nuclear risk and risks from artificial intelligence. Fri also designed a new benchmark of ai progress, measuring the accuracy of ai systems on an automated Forecasting task. In addition to this Research, fri increased in size to 8 full-time employees and more than 20 academic, scientific, and part-time collaborators.

Who funds Forecasting Research Institute (FRI)

Grants from foundations and other nonprofits
GrantmakerDescriptionAmount
Good Ventures FoundationAdvancing the Science of Forecasting$2,676,400
Good Ventures FoundationProject on Forecasts Related To Ai$150,000

Personnel at FRI

NameTitleCompensation
Joshua RosenbergChief Executive Officer and Treasurer$135,553
Philip TetlockPresident, Chief Scientist$0
Ezra KargerResearch Director
Michael PagePast Chief Executive Officer and Treasurer / Ceo; Board Treasurer$114,932
Tegan McCaslinBoard Member$73,389
...and 1 more key personnel

Financials for FRI

RevenuesFYE 12/2023
Total grants, contributions, etc.$225,000
Program services$0
Investment income and dividends$10,026
Tax-exempt bond proceeds$0
Royalty revenue$0
Net rental income$0
Net gain from sale of non-inventory assets$0
Net income from fundraising events$0
Net income from gaming activities$0
Net income from sales of inventory$0
Miscellaneous revenues$0
Total revenues$235,026

Form 990s for FRI

Fiscal year endingDate received by IRSFormPDF link
2023-122024-11-11990View PDF
2022-122023-11-14990View PDF
Data update history
January 11, 2025
Posted financials
Added Form 990 for fiscal year 2023
December 27, 2024
Updated personnel
Identified 2 new personnel
December 27, 2024
Used new vendors
Identified 2 new vendors, including , and
July 12, 2024
Received grants
Identified 2 new grant, including a grant for $2,676,400 from Good Ventures Foundation
February 1, 2024
Updated personnel
Identified 7 new personnel
Nonprofit Types
Public sector nonprofitsResearch centersCharities
Issues
Science and technologyPublic policy
Characteristics
Conducts researchOperates internationallyNational levelTax deductible donationsAccepts online donations
General information
Address
2803 Philadelphia Pike B454
Claymont, DE 19703
Metro area
Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD
County
New Castle County, DE
Website URL
forecastingresearch.org/ 
Phone
(302) 492-2485
IRS details
EIN
92-0693558
Fiscal year end
December
Taxreturn type
Form 990
Year formed
2022
Eligible to receive tax-deductible contributions (Pub 78)
Yes
Categorization
NTEE code, primary
W00: Public Policy, Public Services Institutions: General
NAICS code, primary
5417: Scientific Research and Development Services
Parent/child status
Independent
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